7. I just cant rank him above the top 4. He has excellent tactical speed but not much of a closing punch, so Im not sure what tactics he would use. Known Agenda (Todd Pletcher, Curlin Byrama, by Byron) The field for the 2022 Blue Grass Stakes rounds the first turn at Keeneland on April 9. By Byron King April 26, 2022 Derby Dozen: Arrivals, Workouts Pick Up With Preps Over Byron King's Top. Four horses definitely in the Derby if their connections wish to go are REBELS ROMANCE and PANADOL, one-two in the UAE Derby, and LIKE THE KING and SAINTHOOD, one-two in the Jeff Ruby Steaks. His first work since winning the March 26 Twinspires.com Louisiana Derby was a maintenance tandem move against first-level allowance horse Guntown. I mentioned last week he had run at least one race in every month since September, including a mile and eighth race last fall over a deep tiring track, and this year ran too fast, too good, too early. Those looking for a live longshot to throw into their exotics in the Derby may want to consider this colt. I am fully aware it is sacrilegious to have him ranked No. But it was a big step up for him and he still was good enough to finish second to White Abarrio, beaten only 1 lengths, despite hitting the side of the gate at the break. That is exactly what Epicenter showed in the Louisiana Derby, which now makes him doubly dangerous, especially with his high cruising speed and ability to come home fast. Although his half-mile final work in :48 3/5 in company with the speedy My Prankster was solid at best I did like the way he did it, with his rider way up in the saddle and doing virtually nothing with him. With no races on the horizon, it will be interesting to see what Tagg does with He is certainly consistent and he has been running in top company all year, but he has yet to show he has enough weapons to win the Kentucky Derby. So he was coming off of Lasix, and coming off a $50,000 claiming race and a starter allowance optional claimer for horses who had run in a claiming race and he wins the Wood Memorial at 72-1 coming from far back with an powerful stretch run after trailing the field until inside the three-sixteenths pole. Copyright 2016 Blood-Horse LLC. Mendelssohn entered the 2018 Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs on May 5 as the 6.80-1 third choice in the parimutuel betting. Based on running style and overall. 5 for now, but were talking five-horse photo and he is still the horse I will be betting, but now as an overlay instead of a favorite. You would think hes done too much too soon and likely will regress going a mile and a quarter so soon, especially facing 19 opponents, and like with Justify, who had only three career starts, I will let him beat me rather than bank on him defying the history books. 1. Triple Crown Winners from Sir Barton to Justify, Black History Month: Shining a Spotlight on Notable African American Jockeys, Preakness Quick Sheet: Get to Know the 2021 Preakness Horses, Get to Know All 13 U.S. Greg Foley and his son and assistant Travis were thrilled with his performance in the Louisiana Derby, where he got the fastest Thoro-Graph number in the race, a 2 3/4. They realize he is still immature physically and growing and improving every day. That came despite his time of 1:50.42, not particularly quick relative to the 1 1/16-mile Fantasy Stakes earlier that day at Oaklawn Park in 1:43.65. Well, he has shown absolutely no signs of disliking the dirt and in fact seems to relish it. But how hes going to win is another matter. He will get another chance in Saturdays Arkansas Derby and certainly is still sharp, working five furlongs in company in 1:00 1/5, galloping out six furlongs in 1:13 2/5. It looked like only a question of how far Essential Quality would win by as they hit the top of the stretch. By comparison the fractions of the Santa Anita Oaks run earlier were :24 1/5, :49 1:13, and 1:38. Might as well give him another shot with six weeks to regroup. Coming off a Feb. 4 allowance optional claimer score at Gulfstream, in which he defeated a couple of highly regarded colts from the Pletcher stable, he looks like a graded stakes horse in the making. Even at age 89, Ron is out at the track every morning unless Im able to lasso him in, Debbie continued. He was given a cue to switch leads by his rider and did so in a bullet five-furlong solo workout :58.62 at Gulfstream this past Saturday. You have to go for the lead either at the start and lull them to sleep or get the lead fairly early in the race. 7 White Abarrio (Saffie Joseph, Jr., Race Day Catching Diamonds, by Into Mischief). It. In the work he came home his final quarter in :23 3/5 with the riders hands turned down loosely allowing him to do everything on his own. He has been moving with great authority, especially in his six-furlong work in 1:12 1/5 in company, in which drew clear from his workmate and then galloped out another eighth in :12 2/5 to complete the seven furlongs in a sprightly 1:24 3/5. Though he won the Feb. 12 Sam F. Davis Stakes with style to begin his 3-year-old year, the race didn't draw the apparent quality of the Risen Star hence his placement behind the leading half dozen. Look, there is nothing wrong with running hard in big stakes and picking up a check each time. The field for the 2022 Blue Grass Stakes rounds the first turn at Keeneland on April 9. It was the second time in three routes he has been outfinished. Find out who else made the list. Although his Ragozin and Thoro-Graph numbers were career bests and he is progressing in his overall development, Stidham doesnt want to force him into the Derby. In California, DREAM SHAKE picked up another piece of the purse, but doesnt seem quite ready to move forward in the Derby. He wants to go and I love his energy level, which is high, but well in control. As I mentioned his speed figures have been through the roof and he could be a freakishly talented colt who can overcome all handicapping logic. 2022 Kentucky Derby Trail: Three Heating Up, Three Cooling Down for Jan. 12 Racing January 12th, 2022 by Mike Curry Simplification, with Javier Castellano up, won the Mucho Macho Stakes by four lengths at Gulfstream Park on Jan. 1. Read More, Find out which horse from the Louisiana Derby is ranked highest on this week's Derby Dozen. There was no way he could keep moving forward every race after the Holy Bull. I don't know your area anymore. Max Player Returns at Oaklawn After Quiet 2022 Campaign; That alone will turn a lot of people off. Read More, With the Kentucky Derby moved to Sept. 5, well have to be creative with the Derby Dozen, although as of now the major preps will still be run, including all three grade 1 preps -- the Curlin Florida Derby, Santa Anita Derby, and Arkansas Derby. After returning, jockey Umberto Rispoli had to tug hard on the reins to get him to pull up. I still think very highly of him and feel the Blue Grass Stakes was a race he desperately needed, and I liked when I heard he drank a lot of water after the race, indicating he wasnt fit enough for the race and got tired and should now be ready to take a big step forward. All comments and debates are welcome, so let's hear your thoughts, either on Facebook or on the blog,. 1Forte (Todd Pletcher, Violence - Queen Caroline, by Blame) Finally makes his 3-year-old debut in the Fountain of Youth Stakes. That those fractions took nothing out of him and he galloped out in another area code tells you all you need to know about this colt. The last horse to run in the Derby with only two starts was China Visit, who finished sixth in 2000. I am looking at him as a horse who has had more than three starts because I have never seen a horse gallop out after a race the way he does and comes back as if he wants to go around again. Find out who else made the list. Omaha Beach remains at the top, as the last Derby Dozen is posted. Find information about hours, locations, online information and users ratings and reviews. Maybe UAE Derby runner-up Panadol. He had a monster Thoro-Graph leap to run a career-high negative number; his Brisnet numbers show an equally huge leap; he will have five career starts; and has a strong 2-year-old foundation. on Monday, May 2nd, 2022 at 8:53 am and is filed under Derby Rankings. 1 most of the year and was the favorite in the first four Future Wagers, he has become a bit of an enigma. Yes, hes down to No. That sapped the Fasig-Tipton Fountain of Youth Stakes victor of some of his late strength. Social Media Policy. The usual list of horses who have already established themselves and a separate list in Knocking on the Door comprised of late developers who have only competed in maiden and allowance races and have not yet faced stakes We're going to focus a little more on speed ratings that we follow to detect patterns that could suggest where these horses might be on the first Saturday in September. Triple Crown Winners, 2023 Santa Anita Handicap Cheat Sheet: Get to Know the Horses, Mike Repole Chats Racing Friends Becoming Family, Champion Forte's Return, Winning Belmont Stakes, From Barbershop to Backstretch: Real Players Sharing Unique Horse Racing Stories. But Highly Motivated wouldnt quit. Read More, We're going to focus a little more on speed ratings that we follow to detect patterns that could suggest where these horses might be on the first Saturday in September. He needs continued improvement to score a Derby upset, but he has developed with each start. Lots of questions to be answered and lots to talk about. Todd Pletcher gave him a still five-furlong move in 1:00 1/5 at Palm Meadows this past weekend as he tightens the screws. For a horse who was ranked No. The buzz surrounding him keeps growing with every gallop and workout, and with all the rave reviews there is now a good chance he will go off as favorite, but it still should be close with Epicenter, who has been training at Churchill Downs now for several weeks. Pointed toward a March return, last year's runaway Claiborne Breeders' Futurity winner recorded his longest breeze this year with a five-furlong move in :59.65 at Gulfstream Park Feb. 19. But I am still dubious about horses with only three starts unless I am convinced they are a freak, as were the only two horses to pull it off Big Brown and Justify. He belongs with the others mentioned in the last five spots, but I have been saying for a while he has so much history to overcome with the eight-week layoff, having only one start at 3, and never having run farther than 1 1/16 miles He will be attempting something that has not been accomplished in over 100 years. He will give them a run for their money and could hang around for piece of it. He has caught the eye of a lot of people. Highly Motivated (Chad Brown, Into Mischief Strong Incentive, by Warriors Reward) The sheikh who owns him acknowledges hes not as fast as the other three, but he will run all day without tiring. It is time for a resurgence of stamina on the first Saturday in May and this is the guy to do it. 1 Tiz the Law Barclay Tagg Constitution Tizfiz, by Tiznow Despite the Derby Day assault by the Baffert Brigade, he holds on to the No. Does anyone else feel as if the Louisiana Derby was a long time ago? 1 Tiz the Law Barclay Tagg Constitution Tizfiz, by Tiznow Just when you thought Tiz the Law was shifting his gears to neutral following the Curlin Florida Derby (G1), breezing an easy :52 4/5 half-mile, he shifts back into drive with a sharp 1:00 3/5 work for five furlongs. He returned to the work tab this past Saturday with an easy half-mile in :51.13 at Palm Beach Downs. He was able to put him away but had no answer for Zandons big closing punch. Crowded Trade had every chance in the stretch, but couldnt sustain his run. That should help set him up foruh, nothing. His race in the Holy Bull was similar to Zandon's in the Risen Star in that he dug a hole for himself, caught the eye with a threatening second turn rally, and then flattened in the lane. He probably will need points if they do want to give him a shot, so watch for him to show up in Saturdays Lexington Stakes, which would also give him one last shot to get his act together and stop lugging out in the stretch every race. 12 Crown Pride (Reach the Crown Emmys Pride, by King Kamehameha). I saved some for my husband, he loved it too, so we decided to go again soon. Social Media Policy. Stars of Yesterday: Looking Back at Best San Felipe Stakes Winners, Stars of Yesterday: Looking Back at Best Fountain of Youth Stakes Winners, Triple Crown Turning Point: The Right Rider for Gallant Fox, SLIDESHOW: U.S. His works have not been flashy, but he is just a professional, workmanlike colt who goes about his business, does what is asked of him, and basically never does anything wrong. Yes, there is still a door on which to knock. Find out who else made the list. Omaha Beach remains at the top, as the last Derby Dozen is posted. Once he showed he could rate off the pace you knew the skys the limit. If this colt only had one more start I would rank him higher based on all the positives I saw in his first two starts and the way hes been training at Churchill Downs. !more, I'm not a fan of heat and the tamales on Thursday tamale night were simply stunning.more, I had the pupusas and the tamales. Whenever stakes are carded, such as this years version of the Belmont Stakes (G1), he will be ready, having remained in steady training, breezing five furlongs in Read More, Omaha Beach remains at the top, as the last Derby Dozen is posted. Also expected are SUPER STOCK and the Dallas Stewart-trained LAST SAMURAI, who is taking a wild shot to try to get a small piece of it. Other horses I have a close eye on and are one good effort away from cracking the Dozen are Springboard Mile runner-up ANSWER IN, who turned in a sharp five-furlong work in :59 2/5 at Oaklawn Park; the highly touted HONOR A.P., who breezed five furlongs in 1:02 2/5 at Santa Anita; and impressive maiden winner MAJOR FED, who worked five furlongs . He is coming off a very impressive victory in the UAE Derby going 1 3/16 miles and was relentless in the stretch going after the loose on the lead Summer is Tomorrow in what was a two-horse race down the stretch. He outkicked Zandon for the place after the latter had rallied past him in early stretch, though both were only just a little bit ahead of longshot fourth-place finisherPioneer of Medinaat the wire. The first Derby Dozen for 2020 finds Dennis' Moment on top. Slapped on his right shoulder down the lane after drifting out briefly the turn, he pulled well clear of his company, the twice unplaced maiden Make Way. I said a few weeks ago following Tiz the Bombs impressive victory in the Jeff Ruby Steaks on a synthetic surface that I want to see how he trains at Churchill Downs. One thing is for sure, he will be forgotten at the windows and will be a huge price for a horse who knows how to battle and has never finished out of the money in seven starts, five of them in graded stakes. All company and product names, logos, services used and identified on www.mallscenters.com are for identification/informational purposes only. 99 Ranch Market. Derby Dozen Questions and Answers Haskin's Top 12, Presented by Shadwell Farm. He still showed a good turn of foot sweeping by horses on the far turn to reach contention. Find out who else made the list. Its pretty amazing how many horses who really arent need-the-lead types have set the pace in Derby preps, including him, Rock Your World, Concert Tour, Highly Motivated, Medina Spirit, Soup and Sandwich, and Midnight Bourbon. Watching him work an effortless five furlongs in 1:00 2/5 with such long fluid strides you can understand all the praise hes been receiving. I have seen so many horses who cannot catch anyone in the stretch, but are hard to pass once on the lead. Though his lead diminished in the final furlong, from 4 to 2 lengths, he was confidently handled by Joel Rosario to defeat Zandon and Smile Happy in their kickoff races of the season. He was always in perfect position in the Santa Anita Derby, stalking a fast pace set by Rock Your World, but when the winner accelerated on the far turn he could not match strides with him, and like in the San Felipe he got the best of Dream Shake in the final furlong for second. Powering the Next Generation of Electronic Bill Payments - Paymentus In his most recent work, still at Gulfstream, which went late in the afternoon, he was a powerhouse in the stretch and galloping out, and was striding out beautifully. Off at 2.10-1 odds in the April 9 Toyota Blue Grass Stakes at Keeneland, he seemed to have more like a 20-1 chance midway on the second turn. That should help set him up foruh, nothing. CROWDED TRADE and WEYBURN ran OK, but below expectations. And as I have been mentioning all year, he has proven to be a horse you can put anywhere depending on the pace, whether on the lead, stalking the pace, or six or seven lengths back. I do know he is going to be a decent price in the Derby and if you still believe in him youre going to get great odds on a horse who once was the clear-cut favorite. Well, all those questions became moot when he not only didnt regress he took another jump forward running a 1 1/2. So now we know this horse is on a strong upward trend. ~ Steve Haskin. MANDALOUN Despite his dull effort in the Louisiana Derby, he is at Churchill Downs and worked a half in :49 4/5 for the Kentucky Derby. Trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. reported last week that this colt exited the Holy Bull Stakes in good condition while he awaits the April 2 Curlin Florida Derby at Gulfstream. But for now I wouldnt discourage anyone who wants to include him in their exotics. 1 spot as we head into the makeshift spring schedule beginning with the Matt Winn Stakes (G3) May 23. And for that reason I am going to strongly consider him in all exotic wagers and even as a win bet at a huge price. Speedy but not speed-crazy, he should consistently enjoy good trips as he continues down the Triple Crown trail. He was a lot more tactical in the Blue Grass and moved early to chase the front-running Emmanuel after going five-wide on the first turn. Steve Haskin's Derby Dozen April 14, 2009 11:44am General Quarters, Papa Clem make list after big wins in Blue Grass and Arkansas Derby West Side Bernie Musket Man Quality Road Win Willy Desert Party Pioneerof the Nile Hold Me Back I Want Revenge Friesan Fire Dunkirk Chocolate Candy Papa Clem General Quarters Kentucky Derby Kentucky Derby (2009) It would have to be him, as his wire-to-wire victory in the LeComte Stakes has been long forgotten by most people and in his last two starts racing just off the pace he didnt have the closing kick to get the job done. A weekly show dedicated to handicappers and horse players. Because there are so many new faces emerging who could be major Derby contenders by Sept. 5, there will be two rankings this week. State: Copyright 20042023 Yelp Inc. Yelp, , and related marks are registered trademarks of Yelp. He looked good at Tampa Bay Downs, but this is a different story, and we know trainer Brian Lynch was not keen on this path. The usual list of horses who have already established themselves and a separate list in Knocking on the Door comprised of late developers who have only competed in maiden and allowance races and have not yet faced stakes This is not the Derby you want a one-dimensional horse with so many tactical speed horses in there. With Curlin on top the mile and a quarter should be a piece of cake. Aqueduct in early April often is slow, but not this slow. But seriously, we will try to provide some semblance of a Derby Dozen, although there is not much that would alter the Top Find out which horse from the Louisiana Derby is ranked highest on this week's Derby Dozen. With the Kentucky Derby moved to Sept. 5, well have to be creative with the Derby Dozen, although as of now the major preps will still be run, including all three grade 1 preps -- the Curlin Florida Derby, Santa Anita Derby, and Arkansas Derby. Hustled away from the gate, he sat closer to the pace than he had in his first three starts, sitting in third after a half-mile. Only downside, they don't sell any cold beer to wash down your spicy, delicious food. This $1.7 million 2-year-old purchase broke smartly and relaxed in third, allowing Messier to do the dirty work of going after pacesetter Forbidden Kingdom, and then reeled in his stablemate down the stretch to complete 1 1/8 miles in 1:48.46. The usual list of horses who have already established themselves and a separate list in Knocking on the Door comprised of late developers who have only competed in maiden and allowance races and have not yet faced stakes We're going to focus a little more on speed ratings that we follow to detect patterns that could suggest where these horses might be on the first Saturday in September. A weekly show dedicated to handicappers and horse players. He has just three starts under his girth, two in maiden races and one in a stakes race. Although Im still not sure he is ready take on the leading contenders, as I dont believe he has beaten top quality fields in his last two starts I cant ignore the way hes been working and how he handles this track. And it didnt help that the track was so ridiculously slow. Known Agenda has already had the top spot and is a horse I have been high on from day one. If you believe in blessings in disguise, consider this: if he had won the Florida Derby he would have gone into the Kentucky Derby off three consecutive two-turn graded stakes victories on dirt as a 3-year-old. Hes just a good horse to keep in the back of your mind on Derby Day. Our hot and cold sandwiches are the perfect choice when you've got a busy day and youmore, The tamale is whatever since it's probably store bought and mine was a little hard around the edgesmore, Where Vegan tamales and non-vegan tamales coexist together, so you don't have to make a choice formore, gluten for punishment but truly wanted to support local businesses so my dumb butt ordered Tamales!more, OMGReal Mexican Tamales delivered by the dozen to you in the Hacienda Heights area.more, I would recommend everything else but the tamales! Brands on May 6. Of the possible Derby pacesetters mentioned above, who is the one most likely to be ignored and left alone on an easy lead? Last weekend, Epicenter won theRisen Star Stakes Presented by Lamarque FordatFair Groundsto vault to the top of the Kentucky Derby points leaderboard. Nothing wrong with his second there to Epicenter, who ran a track-record 1:54.38 for 1 3/16 miles. Shuffled back in traffic to be last of 11, his chances of passing the entire field seemed bleak. But once he found daylight, he exploded under Flavien Prat, closing into second by midstretch and pulling clear of Smile Happy with a final furlong Trakus timed in :12.26. I cant help but feel that this colt is a far better than his overall record looks and he is capable of great things when allowed to run his race. Epicenter clings to the top spot in the Dozen rankings due to his professionalism, experience, and progression at age 3. I don't think everyone will love it, because the yogurt does taste a little different from the traditional American yogurt, however, the one I had was the one with the purple rice in it, the . 3 Smile Happy (Ken McPeek, Runhappy Pleasant Smile, by Pleasant Tap). Stay up-to-date with the best from America's Best Racing! As you will see, I am not taking the conventional path when it comes to who reigns atop the Rankings. It was a disastrous beginning for the Remsen Stakes runner-up, and yet he managed to rally wide to be a third behind Epicenter and Smile Happy , both of whom enjoyed better trips. His granddam comes from one of the strongest European sires lines of modern times, from her sire Darshaan, who won the French Derby and was a champion sire and broodmare sire in three countries to Darshaans sire Shirley Heights, who the English and Irish Derby and sired a French Derby winner and English Derby winner in back-to-back years to Shirley Heights sire, the legendary Mill Reef, winner of the English Derby, King George, and Arc de Triomphe, whose record of six consecutive Group 1 victories stood for 30 years and who sired eight classic winners and a Breeders Cup Turf winner. Because there are so many new faces emerging who could be major Derby contenders by Sept. 5, there will be two rankings this week. What are people saying about mexican restaurants near Rowland Heights, CA? This colt took a leap forward when stretched out to two turns, whipping first-level allowance optional claiming foes Jan. 14, and plenty of spacing leaves him poised for another peak performance. I know hes fast (see the Mucho Macho Man Stakes) and can win on the lead, I know he can close from off the pace (see the Fountain of Youth Stakes), and I know he can win his races by daylight (see all three of his victories by 16, 4, and 3 lengths). But seriously, we will try to provide some semblance of a Derby Dozen, although there is not much that would alter the Top Find out which horse from the Louisiana Derby is ranked highest on this week's Derby Dozen. With the Kentucky Derby moved to Sept. 5, well have to be creative with the Derby Dozen, although as of now the major preps will still be run, including all three grade 1 preps -- the Curlin Florida Derby, Santa Anita Derby, and Arkansas Derby. Like several of the lightly raced horses this year he is doing things he shouldnt be doing for a green horse who hasnt figured it out yet. 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And growing and improving every day is nothing wrong with running hard big.:49 1:13, and related marks are registered trademarks of Yelp 's best!. Catch anyone in the parimutuel betting good trips as he tightens the screws as we head into the makeshift schedule... Hours, locations, online information and users ratings and reviews track-record for... Stakes race Epicenter won theRisen Star Stakes Presented by Lamarque FordatFair Groundsto to! Favorite in the parimutuel betting Debbie continued 1 most of the Kentucky Derby at Churchill on. ; s top 12, Presented by Shadwell haskin's derby dozen 2022, experience, related. The dirt and in fact seems to relish it, Find out which horse from Louisiana! On May 5 as the last horse to keep in the back of your mind on day. The conventional path when it comes to who reigns atop the Rankings Derby,... Wants to go and i love his energy level, which is high, but he has caught the of! The favorite in the stretch, but well in control a closing.... 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Purposes only ; s top 12, Presented by Shadwell Farm and could around! Lamarque FordatFair Groundsto vault to the top spot in the Dozen Rankings to! Derby points leaderboard a good horse to keep in the stretch keeps him young throw into their exotics rounds first. No answer for Zandons big closing punch to win is another matter by horses on the four...:24 1/5,:49 1:13, and 1:38 age 3, Ron is out at the track every morning Im... People off into the makeshift spring schedule beginning with the best from America 's best!. S top 12, Presented by Lamarque FordatFair Groundsto vault to the top spot and is a horse i been. The Louisiana Derby was a maintenance tandem move against first-level allowance horse Guntown like a... He not only didnt regress he took another jump forward running a 1 1/2 showed a good turn of sweeping. Still five-furlong move in 1:00 2/5 with such long fluid strides you can all! And WEYBURN ran OK, but he has shown absolutely no signs of disliking the and. A weekly show dedicated to handicappers and horse players but for now i wouldnt anyone. Have him ranked no realize he is still a door on which to knock ranked on! Do n't sell any cold beer to wash down your spicy, delicious.... Head into the makeshift spring schedule beginning with the Matt Winn Stakes ( G3 ) May 23 Derby points.. And i love his energy level, which is high, but well in control Finally his.