I don't have a top three issues. Labors primary votes in all three of these electorates went backwards which should set Red flags in Labor HQ. There are 4,658 envelopes waiting to processed, only 200 of them are postals, they are late arriving postals which I guess will favour Greens or break even. A major activity centre like Glenhuntly Road shouldnt be a boundary because the traders on both sides of the road are a single community of interest. This even includes the most recent batches of postal votes where the Greens outperformed Labor by 7% (after minor preferences). Continue moving West Melbourne toward independence by building a potable water facility. In 2018, I pledged to work toward a healthy Indian River Lagoon. Can somebody explain why if the AEC are doing a 3 way count here, why they are not doing one in Richmond which seems (to me) a seat where the Greens could still get up or at least be second. Bandt worked as an industrial and public interest lawyer for the decade before his election to Parliament in 2010. One more boundary that should change though id the southern one with Goldstein: Glenhuntly Road. Redistribution Loses Windsor to neighbouring Higgins. Labor candidate Josh Burns won Macnamara in 2019. Support local journalism. Victorian Ports Corporation (Melbourne) Level 5, 530 Collins Street, Melbourne 3000. Greens overtaking Labor means Labor will finish 3rd. West of Hotham, St Kilda East and Balaclava retain the same urban feeling that the eastern triangle of St Kilda (between the highway and Chapel) and Windsor have: Almost entirely a mix of 3-storey walkup blocks of flats and single fronted terraces, no nature strips, etc. Essential, Roy Morgan and Resolve Strategic were all well within MoE, while Newspoll-You Gov and Ipsos were right on the edge of an acceptable MoE, some would say over for Labour. J.D. Current 3CP count: 1. It was replaced by the division of Macnamara which had almost identical boundaries. the Sex party candidate, in the top preference slot, ahead of Steven Armstrong of the Stable Population party and Margaret Quinn of the Rise Up . The current 3CP order after about 87,000 votes is 1 Libs, 2 Labor, 3 Greens. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. This article originally appeared on Florida Today: Six candidates are seeking three seats on Melbourne City Council, With increased flooding during Saturday's deluge, Eau Gallie business owners blame Brightline, Daily Bread drops plan to build affordable housing on Malabar Road; alternate locations sought, Sunwing Airlines to launch service from Melbourne to three Canadian cities in December, Melbourne leaders dedicate $32 million police headquarters to force's lone fallen officer, Harry Goode's Outdoor Shop gets new owners, interior rebuild after 76 years in Melbourne, Six candidates are seeking three seats on Melbourne City Council, Chicago Mayor Lightfoot ousted; Vallas, Johnson in runoff, King asks Duke and Duchess of Sussex to move out of Frogmore so Prince Andrew can move in, Biden Mocks Marjorie Taylor Greene With 1 Simple Hand Gesture, A Nebraska high-school cheerleader competed on her own after the rest of her squad quit. I will continue to support the implementationof the city's own water plant and will support measures to reducethe risk of flooding in our community. Daniel, the biggest problem for Labor at the moment is that their margin vs Liberals on how the current votes are breaking is smaller than the advantage the Liberals are getting over Labor on minor preferences. Podcast #86: Introduction to the NSW election, When local council parties break into state politics. As for the current results as they stand, the AEC has been conducting and publishing a 3CP count and the Liberals are in fact first: https://www.aec.gov.au/news/results-3cp.htm. I agree, PN. The Greens topped the primary vote in St Kilda, with the Liberal Party a distant third. The three council members who win in the general election will have a four-year term and will have a salary of$10,320 a year. It is Brevard County's fourth-most-populous city, behind Palm Bay, Melbourne and Titusville. If anything, I would be extremely worried if I was Josh Burns. It included Port Melbourne, but also included a number of middle and upper middle class suburbs such as Albert Park, Balaclava, Caulfield, Elwood, Middle Park, Ripponlea, South Melbourne and St Kilda. The margin has been changed to 4.9% following the release of the Australian Electoral Commission's redistribution estimates. Assessment Macnamara has been under threat from the Liberal Party in the past, but its unlikely the Liberal Party could win in the current environment. Flooding concerns: With increased flooding during Saturday's deluge, Eau Gallie business owners blame Brightline, Seeking affordable housing site: Daily Bread drops plan to build affordable housing on Malabar Road; alternate locations sought. Frank Crean was Treasurer in the Whitlam government and is the father of former Labor Leader Simon Crean. Weds, 16th November with Georgie Dragwidge (Indep), Elizabeth Antunovic (Freedom Party) and Cassandra Westwood (Animal Justice Party). The West Finger Pier is a good vantage point to view the ships. At first glance that looks like Labor would outperform the Liberals right? As you say FL, the main thing working against Steph HM here is actually just the complete obliteration of the Liberals most likely making this a Labor v Greens count. Labor 32.94% 2. Greens definitely over performed in Prahran. The question would be whether Labor preferences would flow to the Greens at the same rate as Green preferences flow to Labor. Melbourne:2022 elections: Meet the six candidates running for three Melbourne City Council seats; Stephen Mayne will be the moderator. Campaign Email: [email protected], Campaign Facebook page: Facebook.com/DianaForWestMelbourne. Issues such as these shouldnt be decided on emotions. He is a local President of the Finance Sector Union and is a former President of the 50,000-member Bicycle Network which advocates for more sustainable transport and safer riding. Hodgins-May was the Green candidate for Ballarat at the 2013 federal election and came close to victory contesting Melbourne Ports at the 2016 election but did not poll as strongly in 2019. LIB 29,202 2. This is all bad news for Labor because it means the Greens are rapidly catching them, while the Liberals are pulling away from them. Thoughts on who wouldve won this seat based on the state election figures? But damn Id be nervous if I was them with the way each batch of votes has been breaking. But its certainly possible. In early 2022, the Victorian Government asked the Department to convene the Container . Greens actually finished 594 votes behind Labor in the 3PP count which is about 200-300 more than I expected based on the earlier preference throws which had it a lot closer. Candidate Johnson said he planned on focusing on the citys continued upward trending growth. [2] The new name was gazetted on 13 July 2018, and was first used at the 2019 federal election. This is a seat where Labor has usually trailed on first preference votes, relying on Australian Democrat and more recently on Green preferences to come from behind and win. I support the use of all available tools, including fee-based programs that would be paid for by polluters, but could result in significant savings for our citizens, like septic system improvements, odor controland enhanced water testing. Therefore the Greens are rapidly catching up but are not doing so at the expense of the Liberals. In most remaining vote types, the Liberals are currently outpacing Labor by between 1-3% in 3CP terms (despite Labor getting a higher primary vote), and the Greens are currently outpacing Labor by between 5-8%. Eg. She said the support she got from other teams was 'overwhelming. Also the issue for Josh Burns is that most of the population growth is occurring in the west of the seat such as Southbank/Fishermens Bend. Im not saying that the Greens will win (I do think its close to 50/50 though), but youre wrong about two things: 1. Supporting the mayor's momentum of accountability by voting with the mayor for regular financial audits of city finances. Incumbent Mark LaRusso facesShawn Allred Middleton in the District 2 race. Over nearly four decades, the Liberal support in Melbourne has hovered consistently in the 20-30% range, while the Labor and Green percentages have essentially flipped since the turn of the century. With more than 85,000 residents, Melbourne is Brevard County's second-most-populous city, behind Palm Bay. ), meaning any 2CP combination is still possible. Since 1989 he's run his own business, which in 2016 gained a Multicultural Impact Award. I only have the Greens beating Labor by about 50 votes which would be an automatic recount.. William Bowe actually says he thinks its trending Greens. Support local journalism. Dec Prepolls are a similar situation. I was thinking Mcnamara was a certain Labor retain at least on Election night but at this stage I think Greens would be favourites to win Mcnamara. Tree lined, nature strips, large houses, large schools, etc. These two factors, along with the unknown that is the ~1000 Covid phone votes, will most likely determine the outcome but either way, the 3CP count is headed for a photo finish with all 3 parties practically guaranteed to be over 33% with only a couple of hundred votes between them. The moderator was Bernadene Voss, a two-term Councillor and three-time Mayor in the City of Port Phillip. William Bowe explains in his latest blog (from after yesterdays counting finished) that his results system is incorrectly calling it due to its inability to think in three-party terms. But his initial victory had further boosted Green support by 2013, making Liberal preferences in Melbourne irrelevant. The two occasions give all candidates a chance to explain their policies and properly address the questions asked by the moderators and audience members. Council members earn $7,475 annually, plus a $255 monthly travel . This service may include material from Agence France-Presse (AFP), APTN, Reuters, AAP, CNN and the BBC World Service which is copyright and cannot be reproduced. ', Greek transport minister resigns over train crash; 36 dead, SoCal storm timeline: More snow, heavier rain expected Wednesday, Peoria police investigating shooting that left 1 dead at Circle K, One-On-One With WJZ: Baltimore Mayor Brandon Scott defends backing BGE Conduit deal, There's no shortage of salt for NYC roads. To mitigate flooding and traffic issues, upgrades of stormwater and transportation infrastructure in our older neighborhoods must be a city priority. (Melbourne local time. During this period it was held by only five members, all men, most notably Jack Holloway, a minister who served under John Curtin and Ben Chifley; Frank Crean, Treasurer and then Deputy Prime Minister in the Whitlam Government; and Clyde Holding, a minister in the Hawke Government who prior to switching to federal politics had served as Victorian Opposition Leader from 1967 to 1977. What I care about is the community of people. For the latest information, searchABC Emergency, For the latestweather warnings in the Northern Territory, search onABC Emergency. Question now is what becomes of the boundaries at the next election. The event was moderated by Stephen Mayne. I thought this was Labours until I read ABCs Anthony Greens column in which he said he was going to call it for Labour, until the Labour candidate for Macnamara phoned him and said the Greens could still win it. The Green margin versus the Liberal Party rises from 21.8% to 22.6%.There were Green two-candidate preferred majorities in all 32 polling places in 2019, its vote rising above 70% in 22 and 80% in 13. If we assume that 90% of remaining absents & dec prepolls are formal, and they break exactly the way they have been so far, that will add the following votes to each party: 1434 to the Libs 1347 to Labor 1634 to the Greens, Which brings the totals to: 1. At the 2019 federal election making Liberal preferences in Melbourne irrelevant ] the new name was gazetted 13! Distant third 255 monthly travel July 2018, and website in this browser for the latestweather warnings in Whitlam... Moderator was Bernadene Voss, a two-term Councillor and three-time mayor in the Territory... His initial victory had further boosted Green support by 2013, making Liberal preferences in irrelevant! Teams was 'overwhelming searchABC Emergency, for the decade before his election Parliament... 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