We are less than two weeks into the 2023 calendar year, but we've got bold predictions of a litany of things that will go down in Major League Baseball over the course of the next 11.5 months. The following article is part of Jay Jaffe's ongoing look at the candidates on the BBWAA 2023 Hall of Fame ballot. When it comes to R-JAWS, his case becomes even more clear. This was exemplified in a 2008 microcosm during the month of July when he gave up six runs on 15 hits in a loss against the Texas Rangers, then, just a couple of weeks later, took a no-hitter into the ninth inning against the Red Sox. The 2023 Ford C. Frick Award will be bestowed as part of the Awards Presentation. He finished oh so close to a career OPS of triple digits. This legitimacy question mark is sort of a stain on his otherwise Hall of Fame resume. The three-time All-Star won three World Series titles and finished in the Top 12 of NL Cy Young Award voting three times. The results will be announced by Hall of Fame president Josh Rawitch at 6 p.m. All images are property the copyright holder and are displayed here for informational purposes only. A player must receive 75 percent of the writers' vote to get in. He also reached 20-home run mark in five seasons. Baseball Hall of Famer voters are notorious for making players sweat, so these players have made their bones. This is the BBWAA ballot, meaning it features players who have been retired at least five years and those who are holdovers from . His bWAR of 70.1 sits equal to Beltrn and behind only A-Rod in this years list of candidates and the controversies surrounding these two players have been already discussed. Im going to use this section to make the case for Andruw Jones who has garnered 69.5% of the votes on public ballots as of January 2nd. Jones is far superior in the extra-base hit category to Smith with 853 compared to Smiths 499 in almost 400 fewer games than Smith. Who might enter Cooperstown in the Class of 2023? Carlos Beltran and Francisco Rodriguez are the most compelling names. Along with Beltrn and K-Rod, here are the players who are on the Hall of Fame ballot for the first time. According to the ballot tracker as of January 6th from Ryan Thibodaux (@NotMrTibbs on Twitter), Beltrn is sitting right at 56.3%. Davis Byrd: This would normally be the time I would wax poetic on the grave injustice it is that Billy Wagner isnt in the Hall already, but Im going to go a different route this time and say Todd Helton. The remaining returning candidates are Manny Ramirez (28.9 percent last year, seventh ballot in 2023), Omar Vizquel (23.9 percent, sixth ballot), Andy Pettitte (10.7 percent, fifth ballot), Jimmy Rollins (9.4 percent, second ballot), Bobby Abreu (8.6 percent, fourth ballot), Mark Buehrle (5.8 percent, third ballot) and Torii Hunter (5.3 percent, third ballot). He nearly won the MVP in 2005 when he earned 23 of the Triple Crown while posting a .922 OPS. Join our linker program. A player whose career began in 1984, would have a career that ended by the early 2000s and is therefore 10 years removed from playing, and therefore eligble for the Hall of Fame, per the Baseball Writers' Association of America's Hall of Fame elibility rules. Outside of his many awards and achievements, the former outfielder boasts an impressive resume as one of the best switch-hitters in Major League history. The trouble facing Beltrn, much like Bonds, Schilling, et al, is the lingering controversy of off-field antics, and he will likely forever be tainted as one of the leaders identified by MLB in the sign-stealing scandal of the 2017 World Series victory by the Astros. (National Baseball Hall of Fame and Museum). This past weekend was a celebration of hockey history writ large as the 2022 Hockey Hall of Fame inductees were honoured . Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. Jake Crumpler: Hall of Fame voters have not been kind to recent first-time entrants, but among this years light crop of first-timers, Beltrn clearly has the strongest case to be elected on his first ballot. His career 3.85 ERA is 17% above league-average for that time period, and his FIP was even lower. Other notable first-timers are Huston Street, Matt Cain, John Lackey, R.A. Dickey, Jered Weaver, Bronson Arroyo, Jacoby Ellsbury, Andre Ethier, Mike Napoli, Jhonny Peralta, J.J. Hardy and Jayson Werth. If youre in, youre in. Although only receiving 10.2% in his first year (2018, the year fellow 3rd baseman Chipper Jones stormed into the HOF with 97.2% on his first attempt), Rolen has seen his stock steadily climb as he hit 63.2% in 2022. Thats why he lasted 22 years and still posted a career 60.5 bWAR. He posted 20-or-more saves in nine seasons, including two seasons with 40-plus saves and his 324 saves rank 20th on the all-time list. His peak year was 2004 when he hit career-highs in average (.314), homers (34), and RBI (124), and he also hit an impressive .421 in the 2006 World Series win over the Detroit Tigers en route to claiming his only championship ring. If anyone stands a chance to get inducted next year, it's going to be Scott Rolen. 5) Will Helton and Wagner keep trending up? Whoever gets the nod will be inducted, alongside Fred McGriff (more on him. Which players joined the ballot for the first time? (Michael Ponzini/National Baseball Hall of Fame and Museum). 2023 Top newcomers: Carlos Beltran, Ichiro Suzuki, Chase Utley, Bartolo Colon, Francisco Rodriguez Top holdovers: Vizquel, Rolen, Helton, Sheffield Most likely to be elected: Ortiz, Beltran,. (National Baseball Hall of Fame and Museum). Bobby Abreu drove in 100 or more runs eight times, scored 100 or more runs eight times and drew 100 or more walks eight times. By Anthony Franco | November 7, 2022 at 9:22pm CDT. Starting off with the only player of the group who starred for the Royals seems right. Call it the Bud Selig Wing for all I care. Im not so sure about Kent and Sheffield, though I, obviously, think both are more than deserving. On the other hand, in "The Politics of Glory," Bill James' 1994 book on the Baseball Hall of Fame, James predicted Steve Garvey, Al Oliver, Dave Parker, Jim Kaat, Ted Simmons, Dale Murphy, Jack . To show how unpopular Rolen is with the old crowd, last year Rolen got only 34.2% of the votes from private voters, whereas he went 13 for 15 with the known first time voters (86.7%), and the year before he got 32.4% from private voters while going 11 for 13 with known first time voters (84.6%). Three other players accomplished this that year, with Luis Gonzalez, Sammy Sosa, and Barry Bonds in that company. deserve to also be in the Hall of Fame. Kent, a career .290 hitter, holds the all-time record for most home runs by a second baseman with 351 (out of 377). Rolen dashed out of the gates with the Phillies, winning Rookie of the Year in 1997, and then saw his star grow even brighter after a trade to the Cardinals in 2002. Helton is looking to follow the trajectory of his Rockies teammate Larry Walker, who was elected to the Hall of Fame in his final year of eligibility in 2020. With some big names off the ballot, it's difficult to know how next year's vote could fall. b) Hasnt he paid enough for it by immediately losing his managerial gig? Returnees aren't quite veterans, but they have spent time on the ballot. 2024: Adran Beltr, Joe Mauer . He appeared in 14 Postseason series over eight seasons, hitting .246 in 51 games with 18 runs scored, five homers and 11 RBI. A big issue with this line of thinking is that it would mean he would be a Hall-of-Famer if he just retired at 30, which makes no sense. Over a third of BBWAA voters voted for the maximum 10 players allowed on their ballots last year. Alerts. Second year on the ballotPlayed 22 seasons for Mariners, Rangers and YankeesThree-time American League Most Valuable Player Award winner (2003, 2005, 2007) who finished in the Top 10 of AL MVP voting in seven other seasons: 1996 (2nd), 1998 (9th), 2000 (3rd), 2001 (6th), 2002 (2nd), 2008 (8th) and 2009 (10th)14-time All-Star Game selection (1996-98, 2000-08, 2010-11) and 10-time Silver Slugger Award winner at shortstop and third base (1996, 1998-2003, 2005, 2007-08)Two-time Gold Glove Award winner at shortstop (2002-03)Reached the .300 mark in batting in nine seasons (1996-98, 2000-02, 2005, 2007-08), leading majors with .358 average in 1996Scored 100-or-more runs in 13 seasons (1996-2008), leading AL five times (1996, 2001, 2003, 2005, 2007)Totaled at least 100 RBI in 14 seasons (1996, 1998-2010), leading AL twice (2002, 2007)Topped 30 home run mark 15 times (1996, 1998-2010, 2015), leading AL five times (2001-03, 2005, 2007)Led AL in total bases four times (1996, 2001-02, 2007), slugging percentage four times (2003, 2005, 2007-08), hits once (1998) and doubles once (1996)Reached 200-hit mark in three seasons (1996, 1998, 2001)Ranks fourth all-time in RBI (2,086), fifth in home runs (696), seventh in extra base hits (1,275), seventh in total bases (5,813), eighth in runs scored (2,021), 19th in at-bats (10,566), 22nd in hits (3,115), 28th in slugging percentage (.550), 27th in games played (2,784), 33rd in doubles (548) and tied for 36th in walks (1,338)Named Hank Aaron Award winner in 2001, 2002, 2003 and 2007Played in 19 Postseason series over 12 seasons, hitting .259 with 13 homers, 43 runs scored and 41 RBI over 76 gamesMember of Yankees 2009 World Championship team. Rolen was a superlative fielder, securing eight Gold Glove Awards (behind only Brooks Robinson and Mike Schmidt in the category of third basemen) and was none too shabby with the bat either, with a .281 career batting average and many stand-out performances from his 17-year career. In 13 Postseason series, he hit .280 with 27 runs scored and 11 steals. How some baseball nerds in the 1990s . In addition, as we explored when we talked about the Hall of Fame and PED's, a shocking number of players fell off the ballot last year who received a significant share of the ballot. Even so, his case is stellar enough to hike up his vote totals closer to the 75% threshold as he nears the end of his time on the ballot. After a 41.4% showing in 2022, a clearer ballot (no Ortiz, Bonds, Clemens, or Schilling) could pave the way for Jones being elected as part of the 2023 class. Rolen's Hall of Fame voting share by year: 2018 -- 10.2%2019 -- 17.2% (+7 points)2020 -- 35.3% (+18.1 points)2021 -- 52.9% (+17.6 points)2022 -- 63.2% (+10.3 points). He did more than enough to overcome that including posting 61.8 bWAR, making five All-Star Games, and finishing in the top 10 of MVP voting three times. All eligible BBWAA voters have a deadline of Dec. 31 to submit their ballots. He topped the 200-innings pitched mark four times and was selected to three All-Star teams. First year on the ballotPitched 15 seasons for Angels, Red Sox, Cardinals and CubsPosted double-digit win totals in all but one season his rookie year of 2002, when he went 9-4 and finished fourth in the AL Rookie of the Year voting while helping the Angels win the World SeriesReceived Cy Young Award votes in two seasons: 2007 (3rd) and 2015 (9th)Named to 2007 All-Star Game in a season where he led the American League in ERA (3.01) and shutouts (two)Also led AL with two shutouts in 2003 and 2006Topped 200-innings pitched mark in six seasons (2003, 2005-07, 2010, 2015)Appeared in 19 Postseason series over 10 seasons (9 LDS, 7 LCS and 3 World Series), posting 8-6 record with 3.44 ERAMember of three World Series-winning teams: 2002 Angels (when he started and won Game 7), 2013 Red Sox and 2016 Cubs. Undoubtedly, the link to steroid abuse looms large for three-time AL MVP A-Rod and Manny with his career .996 OPS. Those who stand to gain include Rolen, Helton and Wagner, as well as Andruw Jones, who is on his sixth ballot and received 41.4 percent of the vote last year. (National Baseball Hall of Fame and Museum). He's right near the career bWAR for the "average" Hall of Fame center fielder he's at 70.1, the average is 71.6 and he's one of only five players in MLB history with at least 400 homers. 1. Besides Rolen, Helton (52%) and Wagner (51%) are the only returning players who got at least half the vote on the 2022 ballot. By Peter Appel | November 15, 2022 | | 0 Comments Rodriguez's 696 home runs, 3,115 hits and three MVP Awards speak for themselves, but he got just over a third of the vote in his Hall of Fame ballot debut in 2022 (34.3%), likely due to the same PED concerns that plagued Bonds and Clemens. I wouldve gone with Mark Buehrle, the longtime lefty pitcher for the White Sox (and, evidently, the Marlins and Blue Jays) over guys like Billy Wagner (#closersareoverrated), Torii Hunter, and Jimmy Rollins. That, in turn, leads to another problem, one exemplified by the unanimous election of Fred McGriff by the Contemporary Era committee, which consists of former players and former or current executives and others inside the game: The writers and the Hall of Fame members are not on the same page on who should be elected to the Hall of Fame. 5 bold Phillies predictions for the 2023 MLB season by Tim Boyle. Notes: Various groups of Hall of Fame members and others charged with the induction of players who were not voted in by the BBWAA, as well as Negro League players and non-playing personnel (including managers, owners, and executives). He had two consecutive seasons compiling over 400 total bases, the last of which in 2001. Every Sports Reference Social Media Account, Site Last Updated: Tuesday, January 17, 11:08PM. Heltons 132 wRC+ which is a park adjusted stat that measures a hitters run-producing ability is on par with Hall-of-Famers Rickey Henderson, George Brett, Wade Boggs, Billy Williams, and Tony Gwynn and better than Hall-of-Famers like Ken Griffey Jr., Carl Yastrzemski, and Orlando Cepeda. For others, its time for the Hall to look itself in the mirror and recognize that its being hypocritical. Last year, Rodriguez (34.3% of the vote) and Ramirez (28.9%) wouldnt have gotten into the Hall of Fame even if they combined their respective shares of Hall votes. In 15 seasons, John Lakey posted double-digit win totals in all but one. Eighth year on the ballotPitched 16 seasons with Astros, Phillies, Mets, Red Sox and BravesFinished Top 10 in NL Cy Young Award voting twice (1999-4th, 2006-6th)Recorded 422 career saves, second-highest among left-handed relievers and sixth overallCareer walks-plus-hits-per-innings-pitched ratio (WHIP) of 0.998 is lowest among all retired relievers with at least 700 innings pitchedCareer 2.31 ERA is lowest among retired left-handed pitchers with at least 500 innings pitched in live ball eraSeven-time All-Star (1999, 2001, 2003, 2005, 2007-08, 2010)Won 1999 NL Rolaids Relief AwardLed NL in games finished twice (2003, 2005), and finished among league top five in saves four times (1999, 2003, 2006, 2010)Set record (since surpassed) for highest single-season-strikeout-per-nine innings rate among relievers (14.95) in 1999Recorded 12 seasons with 20-plus saves, nine seasons with 30-or-more and two with 40-or more (2003, 2006)Finished no-hitter that included six Astros pitchers vs. Yankees on June 11, 2003 Appeared in eight Postseason series over seven seasons with Astros, Mets, Red Sox and Braves, posting 1-1 record with three saves and 10.03 ERA in 14 games. He finished his career with eight Gold Gloves at the hot corner and one Silver Slugger. Torii Hunter won nine Gold Glove Awards and was selected to five All-Star Games during his 19-year big league career. . To learn more or opt-out, read our Cookie Policy. Ortiz was the only player voted in by the Baseball Writers' Association of America. Jake Crumpler: Both players are more than deserving based on their on-field achievements, but considering their tainted pasts, its difficult to envision either player making a massive jump in vote totals in 2023. There really is no lock for any of the 28 nominees getting elected this year, which is weird. Andy Pettitte won 253 games over 18 big league seasons and pitched for five teams that won the World Series. Every Basketball Hall-of-Fame class is loaded with all-time greats. Francisco Rodrguez topped the 30-save mark in eight seasons, including an MLB record 62 in 2008. Tenth-and-final year on the ballotPlayed 17 seasons with the Blue Jays, Mets, Indians, Giants, Astros and DodgersNamed to five All-Star Games (1999-2001, 2004-05)Won four Silver Slugger Awards at second base (2000-02, 2005)Named 2000 National League Most Valuable Player and finished in Top 10 of NL MVP voting in three other seasons: 1997 (8th), 1998 (9th), 2002 (6th)Hit .300-or-better in three seasons (2000, 2002, 2007)Drove in 100-or-more runs eight times (1997-2002, 2004-05) and scored 100-or-more runs three times (2000, 2002, 2005)Hit 20-or-more homers in 12 seasons and reached the 30-homer mark three times (1998, 2000, 2002)Led NL in extra base hits once (2002-81) and in sacrifice flys twice (1998-10; 2001-13)Defensively, led all NL second basemen in assists once (2001-390) and double plays once (2002-113)Tied for 30th on career doubles list (560) and ranks 54th on career RBI list (1,518)His 351 home runs as a second baseman are most ever at the positionPosted eight seasons with 20 home runs and 100 RBI, the most by any 2B in MLB historyAppeared in 49 Postseason games over 11 series, hitting .276 with nine home runs, 25 runs scored and 23 RBIMember of Giants 2002 National League Championship team. 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